{"id":2558,"date":"2020-09-21T16:41:10","date_gmt":"2020-09-21T15:41:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/?p=2558"},"modified":"2020-09-21T16:41:10","modified_gmt":"2020-09-21T15:41:10","slug":"how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/","title":{"rendered":"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>By <a href=\"mailto:D.Vargha@exeter.ac.uk\">Dora Vargha<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>&#8220;We know a good deal about beginnings: those first signal cases of pneumonia in Guangdong, influenza in Veracruz, and hemorrhagic fever in Guinea, respectively marking the origins of the SARS outbreak of 2002\u20134, the H1N1 influenza pandemic of 2008\u20139, and the Ebola pandemic of 2014\u201316. Recent history tells us a lot about how epidemics unfold, outbreaks spread, and how they are controlled before they spread too far. These stories only get us so far, however, in coming to terms with the global crisis of COVID-19. In the first few months of 2020 the coronavirus pandemic blew past most efforts at containment, snapped the reins of case-detection and surveillance across the world, and saturated all inhabited continents. To understand possible endings for this epidemic, we must look back much further indeed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/muse.jhu.edu\/chapter\/2696551\">Link<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Brands, H., &amp; Gavin, F.J. (2020). <i>COVID-19 and World Order<\/i>: <i>The Future of Conflict, Competition, and Cooperation<\/i>. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press., <a href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1353\/book.77593\">doi:10.1353\/book.77593<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Dora Vargha &#8220;We know a good deal about beginnings: those first signal cases of pneumonia in Guangdong, influenza in Veracruz, and hemorrhagic fever in Guinea, respectively marking the origins of the SARS outbreak of 2002\u20134, the H1N1 influenza pandemic of 2008\u20139, and the Ebola pandemic of 2014\u201316. Recent history tells us a lot about [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3093,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[201,461],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Dora Vargha &#8220;We know a good deal about beginnings: those first signal cases of pneumonia in Guangdong, influenza in Veracruz, and hemorrhagic fever in Guinea, respectively marking the origins of the SARS outbreak of 2002\u20134, the H1N1 influenza pandemic of 2008\u20139, and the Ebola pandemic of 2014\u201316. Recent history tells us a lot about [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Exploring Society with COVID-19\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Lucy Hodges\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Lucy Hodges\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/\",\"name\":\"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/56aaf65769e2a9ec2fb48ada0cb8264d\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha)\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/\",\"name\":\"Exploring Society with COVID-19\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/56aaf65769e2a9ec2fb48ada0cb8264d\",\"name\":\"Lucy Hodges\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f51af9ac86cf8f3f80581f3b5e5759c5?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f51af9ac86cf8f3f80581f3b5e5759c5?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Lucy Hodges\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/author\/lucy2\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19","og_description":"By Dora Vargha &#8220;We know a good deal about beginnings: those first signal cases of pneumonia in Guangdong, influenza in Veracruz, and hemorrhagic fever in Guinea, respectively marking the origins of the SARS outbreak of 2002\u20134, the H1N1 influenza pandemic of 2008\u20139, and the Ebola pandemic of 2014\u201316. Recent history tells us a lot about [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/","og_site_name":"Exploring Society with COVID-19","article_published_time":"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00","author":"Lucy Hodges","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Lucy Hodges","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/","url":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/","name":"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha) - Exploring Society with COVID-19","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#website"},"datePublished":"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00","dateModified":"2020-09-21T15:41:10+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/56aaf65769e2a9ec2fb48ada0cb8264d"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/2020\/09\/21\/how-will-the-pandemic-end-dora-vargha\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"How will the pandemic end? (Dora Vargha)"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#website","url":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/","name":"Exploring Society with COVID-19","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/56aaf65769e2a9ec2fb48ada0cb8264d","name":"Lucy Hodges","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f51af9ac86cf8f3f80581f3b5e5759c5?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f51af9ac86cf8f3f80581f3b5e5759c5?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Lucy Hodges"},"url":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/author\/lucy2\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3093"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.exeter.ac.uk\/covidsociety\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}