The intent is to integrate model data to create new forest demography models and validate them at the basin scale. Our objective is to enhance understanding of the risks linked to climate-forest thresholds amid land-use and climate change. By analysing data from work packages WPs 1-3, we will establish high-risk regions and identify which areas, disturbances, and landscape contexts—such as intact versus fragmented ecosystems—are most vulnerable to forest dieback or hindered recovery.