Scope and Aims of the Workshop 

The purpose of this Past to Future Workshop is to ensure that appropriate earth system modelling simulations and downscaling methodology are available for quantifying extreme events and abrupt changes that potentially impact ecosystems and societies. This interdisciplinary workshop will aim to find a common language and focus on challenges to ensure that the paleo-informed modelling (WS1), data analysis (WS2) and theory (WS3) are delivering developments that inform, and are informed by questions that are of critical importance to impacts in ecosystems and societies, including ancient societies (WS4). 

We aim to encourage research discussions that cut across two or more of the following four areas: 

  • Ecosystem challenges: response time of vegetation cover to climate change events, identifying tipping points at different spatial and temporal scales, the role of human land use in ecosystem processes, and integration of palaeoecological proxy data  
  • Archaeology challenges: bridging climatic, ecological, and archaeological models, quantifying human impacts, and methods for assessing causality  
  • Downscaling challenges: techniques and bias correction considerations, practical (e.g., computational) limitations  
  • Transient ESM challenges: potential value for gaining information on frequency and periodicity of climate extremes, seasonality, and interannual variability to meaningfully connect climate models to impact studies 

By request, the workshop will be organised according to specific paleo time periods (Pre-Holocene and Holocene to present), with break-out sessions organised around specific methodologies and concepts of interest to participants.  

For more details: https://sites.exeter.ac.uk/csdc/workshop-connecting-climate-models-to-impact-studies/